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A Closer Look at Recent Stock Market Returns

A Closer Look at Recent Stock Market Returns

For the third consecutive year, the S&P 500 delivered a double-digit gain, rising 16.4% in 2025. However, the strongest performance was highly concentrated. Seven of the index’s ten best-performing stocks were driven primarily by enthusiasm around artificial intelligence (AI). Of the S&P 500’s 11 sectors, only three—technology, communications, and industrials—outperformed the broader index.

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Lower Interest Rates… Again

Lower Interest Rates… Again

In the final months of last year, the Federal Reserve reduced interest rates three times. The federal funds rate declined from a range of 5.25%-5.50% to 4.25%-4.50% during a three-month period as inflation appeared to be declining. Emerging concerns about the impact of impending tariffs and the lack of continued progress in reducing inflation kept the Fed from making additional rate cuts thereafter.

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Perspectives: Inflation Angst

Perspectives: Inflation Angst

Our economy is large and complex. Assessing its health and likely path requires examining many different measures, all of which are interconnected to some degree. One of the most relevant variables is the rate of inflation. In its most basic form, rising prices stem from too many dollars (i.e. demand) chasing too few goods and services (supply). Other factors, such as tariffs, can also have a significant impact. There are currently differing schools of thought about the outlook for inflation among both economists and investors, creating heightened uncertainty.

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A Practical Overview of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act

A Practical Overview of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act

After months of speculation and political back-and-forth, the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) was signed into law on July 4, 2025. It’s the most comprehensive tax legislation since the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017, It’s the most comprehensive tax legislation since the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017, permanently extending many familiar provisions, such as the 10%, 12%, and 22% tax brackets, the enhanced standard deduction ($15,750 single, $31,500 married filing jointly), and the 20% Qualified Business Income (QBI) deduction.

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Perspectives: Trade War

Perspectives: Trade War

Attempting to revitalize our manufacturing economy and make the United States less dependent on foreign trade, President Trump unveiled his list of global tariffs April 2nd on “Liberation Day.”  The scale and scope of the shockingly high tariff levels initially slapped on our trading partners could have significant negative implications for both the U.S. and global economies.

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Perspectives: Sticky Inflation

Perspectives: Sticky Inflation

Having raised interest rates sharply between 2022 and the middle of last year to curb inflation, Federal Reserve officials entered this year expecting to reduce borrowing costs. Unfortunately, a resurgence of inflation above expectations early this year upended that plan…

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