The war with Iran has whipsawed markets and created significant economic uncertainty. A fragile ceasefire is now in place, and both sides have strong incentives—human, economic, and political—to avoid a prolonged escalation. While negotiations appear to be gaining traction, the risk of renewed hostilities and the ultimate extent of infrastructure damage remain uncertain.

For the third consecutive year, the S&P 500 delivered a double-digit gain, rising 16.4% in 2025. However, the strongest performance was highly concentrated. Seven of the index’s ten best-performing stocks were driven primarily by enthusiasm around artificial intelligence (AI). Of the S&P 500’s 11 sectors, only three—technology, communications, and industrials—outperformed the broader index.

In the final months of last year, the Federal Reserve reduced interest rates three times. The federal funds rate declined from a range of 5.25%-5.50% to 4.25%-4.50% during a three-month period as inflation appeared to be declining. Emerging concerns about the impact of impending tariffs and the lack of continued progress in reducing inflation kept the Fed from making additional rate cuts thereafter.

Our economy is large and complex. Assessing its health and likely path requires examining many different measures, all of which are interconnected to some degree. One of the most relevant variables is the rate of inflation. In its most basic form, rising prices stem from too many dollars (i.e. demand) chasing too few goods and services (supply). Other factors, such as tariffs, can also have a significant impact. There are currently differing schools of thought about the outlook for inflation among both economists and investors, creating heightened uncertainty.

Attempting to revitalize our manufacturing economy and make the United States less dependent on foreign trade, President Trump unveiled his list of global tariffs April 2nd on “Liberation Day.”  The scale and scope of the shockingly high tariff levels initially slapped on our trading partners could have significant negative implications for both the U.S. and global economies.

Most investors would agree that financial markets can be highly unpredictable, generally more so in the near-term than the long run. Many factors influence the prices of securities, some on an individual basis, others at a macro…

The Federal Reserve recently concluded its most aggressive interest rate hikes in 40 years, moving the Fed Funds rate to a 23-year high…

Seeking to lower inflation, the Federal Reserve began raising borrowing costs in March 2022 and held them at the highest level in more than two decades over the past year. Recent data…

Having raised interest rates sharply between 2022 and the middle of last year to curb inflation, Federal Reserve officials entered this year expecting to reduce borrowing costs. Unfortunately, a resurgence of inflation above expectations early this year upended that plan…

The U.S. economy continues to outperform expectations. Aggressive interest rate increases by the Federal Reserve to slow the economy and combat a spike in inflation following the pandemic were widely predicted…